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Paulista - A4 · Quarter-finals · Brazil

Grêmio Sãocarlense v Barretos

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Grêmio Sãocarlense v Barretos: the model read

Grêmio Sãocarlense meet Barretos in the Paulista - A4 quarter-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grêmio Sãocarlense, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Grêmio Sãocarlense on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.7 per match.

Grêmio Sãocarlense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 1-3 v Inter de Bebedouro, W 1-0 v Barretos, D 1-1 @ Barretos.

Barretos are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Grêmio Sãocarlense, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ Taquaritinga, W 1-0 v Nacional SP.

Barretos hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1-0 Barretos.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Grêmio Sãocarlense

DDWLD8-8-4

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DAInter de Bebedouro1-1
  • LHInter de Bebedouro1-3
  • WHBarretos1-0
  • DABarretos1-1
  • DAEC Lemense1-1

Barretos

DWLDL7-6-7

Scored 0.70 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 35%

  • LAGrêmio Sãocarlense0-1
  • DHGrêmio Sãocarlense1-1
  • LATaquaritinga0-2
  • WHNacional SP1-0
  • DAPenapolense1-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Grêmio SãocarlenserecordBarretos
1
2
2 draws

Goals

4-5

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Grêmio Sãocarlense

Recent
WDLDL
Wins 1Goals 4-5

Biggest win 1-0

Barretos

Recent
LDWDW
Wins 2Goals 5-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Grêmio Sãocarlense1-0Barretos
  • Barretos1-1Grêmio Sãocarlense
  • Grêmio Sãocarlense0-1Barretos
  • Barretos2-2Grêmio Sãocarlense
  • Grêmio Sãocarlense0-1Barretos

Managers

Alexandre Grasseli

Head coach

In charge since 2024

Gustavo Marciano

Brazil · 41

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Comercial2022–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.