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A-League Women · Quarter-finals · Australia

Canberra United W v Melbourne Victory W

1-3Full time· McKellar Park, Canberra· Referee: C. Williams

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Canberra United W v Melbourne Victory W: the model read

Canberra United W meet Melbourne Victory W in the A-League Women quarter-finals at McKellar Park, Canberra.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canberra United W, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Canberra United W on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Canberra United W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Melbourne Victory W, L 1-2 v Brisbane Roar FC W, D 0-0 @ Central Coast Mariners W, W 3-2 v Adelaide United W.

Melbourne Victory W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Melbourne City W, L 0-1 v Melbourne City W, W 3-1 @ Canberra United W, W 1-0 @ Perth Glory FC W.

Melbourne Victory W hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canberra United W 1-3 Melbourne Victory W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Canberra United W

LWDLL9-4-7

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LHMelbourne Victory W1-3
  • LHBrisbane Roar FC W1-2
  • DACentral Coast Mariners W0-0
  • WHAdelaide United W3-2
  • LAMelbourne City W1-3

Melbourne Victory W

LWWLL7-4-9

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMelbourne City W0-1
  • LHMelbourne City W0-1
  • WACanberra United W3-1
  • WAPerth Glory FC W1-0
  • LASydney FC W1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Canberra United WrecordMelbourne Victory W
2
6
2 draws

Goals

10-16

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Canberra United W

Recent
LWWLLL
Wins 2Goals 10-16

Biggest win 3-1

Melbourne Victory W

Recent
WLLWWW
Wins 6Goals 16-10

Biggest win 3-1

  • Canberra United W1-3Melbourne Victory W
  • Canberra United W3-1Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W1-3Canberra United W
  • Melbourne Victory W2-0Canberra United W
  • Canberra United W0-2Melbourne Victory W
  • Canberra United W2-3Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W2-0Canberra United W
  • Canberra United W1-1Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W1-0Canberra United W
  • Melbourne Victory W0-0Canberra United W

Managers

A. Jagarinec

Australia

In charge since 2024

Jeffrey Hopkins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.