Canberra United W v Melbourne Victory W: the model read
Canberra United W meet Melbourne Victory W in the A-League Women quarter-finals at McKellar Park, Canberra. The model makes Canberra United W the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAN, 31% draw, 32% MEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canberra United W, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Canberra United W on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Canberra United W at 54%; double chance reads Canberra United W or draw 68%, Melbourne Victory W or draw 63%.
Canberra United W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Melbourne Victory W, L 1-2 v Brisbane Roar FC W, D 0-0 @ Central Coast Mariners W, W 3-2 v Adelaide United W.
Melbourne Victory W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Melbourne City W, L 0-1 v Melbourne City W, W 3-1 @ Canberra United W, W 1-0 @ Perth Glory FC W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output