Brisbane Roar FC W v Adelaide United W: the model read
Brisbane Roar FC W meet Adelaide United W in the A-League Women quarter-finals at Spencer Park, Brisbane. The model makes Brisbane Roar FC W the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% BRI, 29% draw, 34% ADE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Brisbane Roar FC W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Brisbane Roar FC W at 52%; double chance reads Brisbane Roar FC W or draw 66%, Adelaide United W or draw 64%.
Brisbane Roar FC W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Wellington Phoenix W, W 2-1 v Wellington Phoenix W, W 3-0 v Adelaide United W, W 2-1 @ Canberra United W.
Adelaide United W are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Brisbane Roar FC W, L 0-2 v Wellington Phoenix W, L 1-3 v Newcastle Jets FC W, L 2-3 @ Canberra United W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brisbane Roar FC W 3-0 Adelaide United W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
