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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Portugal v Congo DR

1-1Full time· NRG Stadium, Houston· Referee: Abdulrahman Al-Jassim, Qatar

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Portugal v Congo DR: the model read

Portugal meet Congo DR in the World Cup group stage - 1 at NRG Stadium, Houston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portugal, 70% against 60%. Attacking output favors Portugal on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.

Portugal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.

Congo DR are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ England, W 3-1 v Uzbekistan, L 0-1 @ Colombia, D 1-1 @ Portugal.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Portugal 1-1 Congo DR.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Portugal

DWDWL11-6-3

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • WHCroatia2-1
  • DAColombia0-0
  • WHUzbekistan5-0
  • DHCongo DR1-1

Congo DR

LDLWL10-4-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • LAEngland1-2
  • WHUzbekistan3-1
  • LAColombia0-1
  • DAPortugal1-1
  • LHChile1-2

Head-to-head

1 meeting

PortugalrecordCongo DR
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Portugal

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Congo DR

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • Portugal1-1Congo DR

Managers

Roberto Martínez

Spain · 52

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Belgium2016–2022
  • Everton2013–2016
  • Wigan Athletic2009–2013
  • Swansea City2007–2009

S. Desabre

France · 49

In charge since 2023 · 10 teams managed

  • Niort2020–2022
  • Wydad Casablanca2020–2020
  • Pyramids2019–2019
  • Uganda2017–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.