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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Sweden v Tunisia

5-1Full time· Estadio BBVA, Monterrey· Referee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sweden v Tunisia: the model read

Sweden meet Tunisia in the World Cup group stage - 1 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sweden on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Sweden arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.

Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.

Sweden hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sweden 5-1 Tunisia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sweden

DWLDL8-4-8

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAFrance0-3
  • DAJapan1-1
  • LANetherlands1-5
  • WHTunisia5-1
  • DHGreece2-2

Tunisia

LLLLL6-6-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHNetherlands1-3
  • LHJapan0-4
  • LASweden1-5
  • LABelgium0-5
  • LAAustria0-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

SwedenrecordTunisia
1
0
0 draws

Goals

5-1

for each

Avg goals

6.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Sweden

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 5-1

Biggest win 5-1

Tunisia

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-5
  • Sweden5-1Tunisia

Managers

J. Tomasson

Denmark · 49

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Blackburn Rovers2022–2024
  • Malmö2020–2021
  • Roda JC2013–2014
  • Excelsior2013–2013

Sabri Lamouchi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.