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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina

1-1Full time· BMO Field, Toronto· Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina: the model read

Canada meet Bosnia & Herzegovina in the World Cup group stage - 1 at BMO Field, Toronto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Bosnia & Herzegovina are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ USA, W 3-1 v Qatar, L 1-4 @ Switzerland, D 1-1 @ Canada.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DDLWL7-8-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAUSA0-2
  • WHQatar3-1
  • LASwitzerland1-4
  • DACanada1-1
  • DAPanama1-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

CanadarecordBosnia & Herzegovina
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Canada

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • Canada1-1Bosnia & Herzegovina

Managers

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

S. Barbarez

Bosnia and Herzegovina · 54

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.