Aurora v Oriente Petrolero: the model read
Aurora meet Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División apertura - 9. The model makes Aurora the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% AUR, 28% draw, 31% ORI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aurora, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Aurora on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Aurora at 57%; double chance reads Aurora or draw 69%, Oriente Petrolero or draw 59%.
Aurora arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v ABB, D 2-2 v Oriente Petrolero, L 0-2 @ Nacional Potosí, W 2-1 @ Universitario de Vinto.
Oriente Petrolero are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Independiente Petrolero, D 2-2 @ Aurora, L 1-2 @ The Strongest, L 0-1 v Blooming.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
