Orenburg II v Krylya Sovetov II

Orenburg II meet Krylya Sovetov II in the Second League - Group 4 division b - group 4 - 18. The model makes Krylya Sovetov II the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% ORE, 31% draw, 37% KRY.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Orenburg II on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Krylya Sovetov II at 53%; double chance reads Orenburg II or draw 63%, Krylya Sovetov II or draw 68%.

Orenburg II arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Krylya Sovetov II, D 0-0 v Rubin Kazan 2, L 0-1 @ Nosta, L 3-4 @ Dinamo Barnaul.

Krylya Sovetov II are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Orenburg II, D 2-2 v Ural II, D 2-2 @ Rubin Kazan 2, W 1-0 v Chelyabinsk II.

Krylya Sovetov II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orenburg II 0-0 Krylya Sovetov II.

The market prices ORE at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.