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Second League - Group 3 · Group 3 - 24 · Russia

Kvant v Avangard Kursk

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Kvant v Avangard Kursk

Kvant meet Avangard Kursk in the Second League - Group 3 group 3 - 24.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Avangard Kursk, 43% against 13%. Attacking output favors Avangard Kursk on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Kvant arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ FK Spartak Tambov, D 1-1 v Avangard Kursk, L 0-1 @ Volna Nizhegorodskaya, L 1-3 v Ryazan.

Avangard Kursk are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Rotor-2, D 1-1 @ Kvant, L 1-3 v Salyut-Belgorod, W 3-2 v Orel.

Kvant hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kvant 1-1 Avangard Kursk.

The market prices KVA at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kvant

LLLDL1-3-16

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 2.70 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 65%

  • LAFK Spartak Tambov0-4
  • DHAvangard Kursk1-1
  • LAVolna Nizhegorodskaya0-1
  • LHRyazan1-3
  • LARotor-20-2

Avangard Kursk

LWLDD5-7-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DHRotor-21-1
  • DAKvant1-1
  • LHSalyut-Belgorod1-3
  • WHOrel3-2
  • LHRodina Moskva III0-2

Head-to-head

6 meetings

KvantrecordAvangard Kursk
3
2
1 draw

Goals

10-9

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Kvant

Recent
DLWLWW
Wins 3Goals 10-9

Biggest win 5-1

Avangard Kursk

Recent
DWLWLL
Wins 2Goals 9-10

Biggest win 4-0

  • Kvant1-1Avangard Kursk
  • Avangard Kursk4-0Kvant
  • Kvant5-1Avangard Kursk
  • Avangard Kursk2-1Kvant
  • Avangard Kursk0-1Kvant
  • Kvant2-1Avangard Kursk

Managers

O. Morozov

Russia · 59

In charge since 2018

I. Belyaev

Russia · 50

In charge since 2023

  • Avangard Kursk2019–2021
  • Avangard Kursk2018–2019
  • Avangard Kursk2014–2017
  • Avangard Kursk2014–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.