Iskra Smolensk v Tver: the model read
Iskra Smolensk meet Tver in the Second League - Group 2 group 2 - 15. The model makes Tver the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% ISK, 30% draw, 38% TVE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 25% against 33%. Attacking output favors Tver on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Tver at 55%; double chance reads Iskra Smolensk or draw 62%, Tver or draw 69%.
Iskra Smolensk arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cherepovets, L 2-4 v Tver, L 0-6 @ Murom, D 1-1 v Luki-Energiya.
Tver are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Iskra Smolensk, W 1-0 v Murom, L 1-2 @ Luki-Energiya, L 1-2 v Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output