Derry City W v Larne W: the model read
Derry City W meet Larne W in the Premiership Women group stage at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry. The model makes Derry City W the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% DER, 26% draw, 23% LAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Derry City W, 38% against 13%. Attacking output favors Derry City W on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Derry City W at 68%; double chance reads Derry City W or draw 77%, Larne W or draw 49%.
Derry City W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 18 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 v Larne W, D 3-3 v Crusaders W, L 1-3 @ Glentoran BU W, L 1-5 @ Cliftonville W.
Larne W are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 21 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Derry City W, L 1-2 v Lisburn Ladies W, L 0-3 @ Cliftonville W, L 0-3 v Lisburn Ladies W.
Derry City W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Derry City W 7-0 Larne W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output