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Copa Alagoas · Semi-finals · Brazil

CSA v CSE

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Match analysisPre-match brief

CSA v CSE: the model read

CSA meet CSE in the Copa Alagoas semi-finals.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CSA, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors CSA on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.

CSA arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Nacional AM, L 1-3 @ Nacional AM, L 0-2 v Uberlandia, L 0-1 @ Uberlandia.

CSE are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Juazeirense, D 0-0 @ ASA, D 0-0 v Atlético Alagoinhas, L 1-5 v CSA.

CSA hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CSE 1-5 CSA.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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CSA

WLLLD9-6-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • DHNacional AM0-0
  • LANacional AM1-3
  • LHUberlandia0-2
  • LAUberlandia0-1
  • WHSão Luiz2-1

CSE

LLDDL7-4-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHJuazeirense0-1
  • DAASA0-0
  • DHAtlético Alagoinhas0-0
  • LHCSA1-5
  • LAJacuipense1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

CSArecordCSE
5
4
1 draw

Goals

21-10

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

CSA

Recent
WDWWWL
Wins 5Goals 21-10

Biggest win 5-0

CSE

Recent
LDLLLW
Wins 4Goals 10-21

Biggest win 2-1

  • CSE1-5CSA
  • CSA1-1CSE
  • CSA5-0CSE
  • CSE0-1CSA
  • CSA3-0CSE
  • CSA1-2CSE
  • CSE0-2CSA
  • CSE3-2CSA
  • CSA1-2CSE
  • CSE1-0CSA

Managers

Higo

Brazil · 43

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Vila Nova2023–2024
  • Manaus2023–2023
  • Camboriú2022–2023
  • Vila Nova2021–2022

Rodrigues Adriano

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.