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Amapaense · Semi-finals · Brazil

Oratório v Santos AP

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Oratório v Santos AP: the model read

Oratório meet Santos AP in the Amapaense semi-finals. The model makes Santos AP the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 27% ORA, 27% draw, 46% SAN.

Santos AP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1431. Recent form leans Santos AP, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Santos AP on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Santos AP at 64%; double chance reads Oratório or draw 54%, Santos AP or draw 73%.

Oratório arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Tocantinópolis, L 0-1 v Imperatriz, D 3-3 v Tuna Luso, L 2-4 @ Trem.

Santos AP are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ São José EC, W 2-1 @ Oratório, D 1-1 v Oratório, W 5-0 v Macapá.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Oratório

LLDLL6-3-11

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LATocantinópolis1-7
  • LHImperatriz0-1
  • DHTuna Luso3-3
  • LATrem2-4
  • LAÁguia de Marabá1-5

Santos AP

DWDWW9-5-6

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WASão José EC4-0
  • WAOratório2-1
  • DHOratório1-1
  • WHMacapá5-0
  • DHTrem1-1

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.