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1. Division · Regular Season - 16 · Kazakhstan

Tobol 2 v Shakhter Karagandy

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tobol 2 v Shakhter Karagandy: the model read

Tobol 2 meet Shakhter Karagandy in the 1. Division regular season - 16. The model makes Shakhter Karagandy the most likely outcome at 62%, with the full read 16% TOB, 22% draw, 62% SHA.

Shakhter Karagandy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1746 to 1400. Recent form leans Shakhter Karagandy, 82% against 20%. Attacking output favors Shakhter Karagandy on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Shakhter Karagandy at 79%; double chance reads Tobol 2 or draw 38%, Shakhter Karagandy or draw 84%.

Tobol 2 arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Turan Turkistan, L 2-3 v Akademiya Ontustik, L 0-1 @ Jaiyq, D 5-5 v Aktobe Jas.

Shakhter Karagandy are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Arys, W 2-0 @ Ekibastuz, W 1-0 v Turan Turkistan, W 2-1 @ Akademiya Ontustik.

Shakhter Karagandy hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shakhter Karagandy 3-0 Tobol 2.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tobol 2

LDLLL1-4-10

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 2.87 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 73.3%

  • LATuran Turkistan1-2
  • LHAkademiya Ontustik2-3
  • LAJaiyq0-1
  • DHAktobe Jas5-5
  • LAKaspij Aktau 21-2

Shakhter Karagandy

WWWWW15-1-3

Scored 2.63 · Conceded 0.63 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 26.3%

  • WHArys4-1
  • WAEkibastuz2-0
  • WHTuran Turkistan1-0
  • WAAkademiya Ontustik2-1
  • WATaraz2-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Tobol 2recordShakhter Karagandy
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Tobol 2

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-3

Shakhter Karagandy

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-0

Biggest win 3-0

  • Shakhter Karagandy3-0Tobol 2

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.