Sarakinos v Kozani: the model read
Sarakinos meet Kozani in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 losers stage - 5. The model makes Kozani the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% SAR, 31% draw, 35% KOZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sarakinos on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Kozani at 51%; double chance reads Sarakinos or draw 65%, Kozani or draw 67%.
Sarakinos arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kozani, D 0-0 @ Eordaikos, W 2-0 v Evosmou, L 0-1 @ Akrites Sykeon.
Kozani are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sarakinos, W 2-0 v Asteras Kard., W 4-1 @ Akrites Sykeon, L 0-1 v Eordaikos.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sarakinos 1-0 Kozani.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
