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Tasmania Northern Championship · Regular Season - 16 · Australia

Somerset v Burnie Utd.

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Somerset v Burnie Utd.: the model read

Somerset meet Burnie Utd. in the Tasmania Northern Championship regular season - 16. The model makes Somerset the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% SOM, 26% draw, 36% BUR.

Somerset rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1420. Recent form leans Somerset, 58% against 35%. Attacking output favors Burnie Utd. on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 96%, over 2.5 goals around 98%. Draw no bet leans Somerset at 52%; double chance reads Somerset or draw 64%, Burnie Utd. or draw 61%.

Somerset arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Riverside Olympic U21, W 8-2 v Launceston United U21, W 1-0 v Riverside Olympic U21, D 2-2 v Ulverstone U21.

Burnie Utd. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 9-0 v Launceston United U21, L 0-9 v Devonport U21, D 3-3 @ Launceston United U21, W 1-0 v Riverside Olympic U21.

Somerset hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Burnie Utd. 0-5 Somerset.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Somerset

LDWWL10-2-7

Scored 2.68 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 52.6%

  • LARiverside Olympic U210-3
  • WHLaunceston United U218-2
  • WHRiverside Olympic U211-0
  • DHUlverstone U212-2
  • LANorthern Rangers2-10

Burnie Utd.

LWDLW6-2-12

Scored 2.80 · Conceded 3.85 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WHLaunceston United U219-0
  • LHDevonport U210-9
  • DALaunceston United U213-3
  • WHRiverside Olympic U211-0
  • LHNorthern Rangers0-6

Head-to-head

8 meetings

SomersetrecordBurnie Utd.
8
0
0 draws

Goals

33-4

for each

Avg goals

4.6

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Somerset

Recent
WWWWWW
Wins 8Goals 33-4

Biggest win 5-0

Burnie Utd.

Recent
LLLLLL
Wins 0Goals 4-33
  • Burnie Utd.0-5Somerset
  • Somerset3-1Burnie Utd.
  • Burnie Utd.0-4Somerset
  • Somerset2-1Burnie Utd.
  • Burnie Utd.0-4Somerset
  • Somerset4-0Burnie Utd.
  • Burnie Utd.1-5Somerset
  • Somerset6-1Burnie Utd.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.