Naviraiense v Bataguassu: the model read
Naviraiense meet Bataguassu in the Sul-Matogrossense semi-finals. The model makes Naviraiense the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% NAV, 29% draw, 35% BAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naviraiense, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Bataguassu on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Naviraiense at 51%; double chance reads Naviraiense or draw 65%, Bataguassu or draw 64%.
Naviraiense arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Bataguassu, W 1-0 @ Bataguassu, W 2-1 @ Águia Negra, D 0-0 v Operario Ferroviario.
Bataguassu are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Operario Ferroviario, L 1-3 v Operario Ferroviario, W 4-0 @ Naviraiense, L 0-1 v Naviraiense.
Bataguassu hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naviraiense 0-4 Bataguassu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output