Where the market is wrong on Changchun Xidu v Dalian Kewei
Changchun Xidu meet Dalian Kewei in the League Two regular season - 22 at Yatai Training Base Stadium, Changchun.
Dalian Kewei rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Dalian Kewei, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Dalian Kewei on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Dalian Kewei at 63%; double chance reads Changchun Xidu or draw 58%, Dalian Kewei or draw 76%.
Changchun Xidu arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Dalian Kewei, D 2-2 @ BIT, L 1-2 v Xi'an Ronghai, L 0-1 v Dalian Yingbo B.
Dalian Kewei are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Changchun Xidu, W 1-0 v Tai'an Tiankuang, D 2-2 v Rizhao Yuqi, D 2-2 @ Shandong Taishan II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Changchun Xidu 2-1 Dalian Kewei.
The market prices CHA at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Changchun Xidu: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
