Portland Hearts of Pine v NY Cosmos: the model read
Portland Hearts of Pine meet NY Cosmos in the USL League One Cup group stage at Fitzpatrick Stadium, undefined. The model makes Portland Hearts of Pine the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% POR, 28% draw, 29% NY .
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portland Hearts of Pine, 43% against 28%. Attacking output favors Portland Hearts of Pine on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Portland Hearts of Pine at 60%; double chance reads Portland Hearts of Pine or draw 71%, NY Cosmos or draw 57%.
Portland Hearts of Pine arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sarasota Paradise, L 1-2 v Sarasota Paradise, L 1-2 v Union Omaha, L 1-2 @ Boise.
NY Cosmos are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Boise, L 0-3 @ Westchester SC, D 0-0 v Corpus Christi, D 1-1 @ Portland Hearts of Pine.
Portland Hearts of Pine hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 NY Cosmos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output