Celtic v ST Mirren: the model read
Celtic meet ST Mirren in the FA Cup semi-finals at Hampden Park, Glasgow. The model makes Celtic the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% CEL, 29% draw, 31% ST .
Celtic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1535. Recent form leans Celtic, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors Celtic on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Celtic at 57%; double chance reads Celtic or draw 69%, ST Mirren or draw 59%.
Celtic arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Middlesbrough, L 1-4 @ Sporting CP, D 1-1 @ Shelbourne.
ST Mirren are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Dunfermline, W 4-3 v East Kilbride, W 4-0 @ Cove Rangers, W 4-0 @ Dumbarton.
Celtic hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celtic 6-2 ST Mirren.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
