Gurupi v União Carmolandense: the model read
Gurupi meet União Carmolandense in the Tocantinense semi-finals. The model makes Gurupi the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% GUR, 33% draw, 31% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Gurupi on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Gurupi at 53%; double chance reads Gurupi or draw 69%, União Carmolandense or draw 64%.
Gurupi arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Carmolandense, L 1-2 v União Carmolandense, W 1-0 @ Guarai SC, L 0-2 v Tocantinópolis.
União Carmolandense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tocantinópolis, D 1-1 v Tocantinópolis, L 0-1 v Gurupi, W 2-1 @ Gurupi.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: União Carmolandense 0-1 Gurupi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
