Where the market is wrong on JDFS Alberts v Smiltene
JDFS Alberts meet Smiltene in the 1. Liga regular season - 19.
JDFS Alberts rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans JDFS Alberts, 70% against 23%. Attacking output favors JDFS Alberts on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
JDFS Alberts arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Smiltene, W 2-0 @ Mārupe, W 3-1 @ Rīgas FS II, W 2-0 v Riga FC II.
Smiltene are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ JDFS Alberts, L 0-6 v Metta / LU, L 2-4 @ Leevon / PPK, L 1-4 v Valmiera / BSS.
JDFS Alberts hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 1 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: JDFS Alberts 3-2 Smiltene.
The market prices JDF at 80% implied. Our number sits apart on Smiltene: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
