Where the market is wrong on Valmiera / BSS v Metta / LU
Valmiera / BSS meet Metta / LU in the 1. Liga regular season - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1742 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 83% against 83%. Attacking output favors Metta / LU on expected goals, 4.3 to 2.8 per match.
Valmiera / BSS arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 18 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Metta / LU, W 6-1 @ Rēzekne FA, W 4-1 v Mārupe, W 4-1 @ Smiltene.
Metta / LU are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 23 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Valmiera / BSS, W 6-0 @ Smiltene, W 2-0 @ Rēzekne FA, L 1-4 @ Riga.
Valmiera / BSS hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Valmiera / BSS 2-2 Metta / LU.
The market prices VAL at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Valmiera / BSS: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
