Smiltene v Rēzekne FA: the model read
Smiltene meet Rēzekne FA in the 1. Liga regular season - 13. The model makes Smiltene the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% SMI, 28% draw, 32% RĒZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 25% against 18%. Attacking output favors Smiltene on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Smiltene at 56%; double chance reads Smiltene or draw 68%, Rēzekne FA or draw 60%.
Smiltene arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Rīgas FS II, W 1-0 v Rēzekne FA, L 1-2 @ Mārupe, L 2-4 v Skanste.
Rēzekne FA are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Mārupe, L 0-1 @ Smiltene, D 1-1 v JFK Ventspils, L 2-4 v JDFS Alberts.
Smiltene hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Smiltene 1-0 Rēzekne FA.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
