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UEFA Nations League · 6 · World

Ukraine v Georgia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ukraine v Georgia: the model read

Ukraine meet Georgia in the UEFA Nations League 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Georgia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Ukraine arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Denmark, W 2-0 @ Poland, W 1-0 v Albania, L 1-3 v Sweden.

Georgia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Bahrain, D 1-1 v Romania, W 2-0 @ Lithuania, D 2-2 v Israel.

Ukraine hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Georgia 1-1 Ukraine.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ukraine

WLWWL9-3-8

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LADenmark1-2
  • WAPoland2-0
  • WHAlbania1-0
  • LHSweden1-3
  • WHIceland2-0

Georgia

LDWDW8-4-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBahrain2-0
  • DHRomania1-1
  • WALithuania2-0
  • DHIsrael2-2
  • LABulgaria1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

UkrainerecordGeorgia
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Ukraine

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

Georgia

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Georgia1-1Ukraine
  • Ukraine1-0Georgia

Managers

S. Rebrov

Ukraine · 51

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Ukraine2022–2026
  • Al Ain2021–2023
  • Ferencváros2018–2021
  • Al Ahli2017–2018

Zurab Khizanishvili

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.