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UEFA Nations League · 5 · World

Romania v Poland

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Romania v Poland: the model read

Romania meet Poland in the UEFA Nations League 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Romania on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Romania arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Wales, D 1-1 @ Georgia, L 0-2 @ Slovakia, L 0-1 @ Türkiye.

Poland are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nigeria, L 0-2 v Ukraine, L 2-3 @ Sweden, W 2-1 v Albania.

Poland hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2017: Poland 3-1 Romania.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Romania

WLLDW11-2-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WHWales2-1
  • DAGeorgia1-1
  • LASlovakia0-2
  • LATürkiye0-1
  • WHSan Marino7-1

Poland

WWLLD9-4-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHNigeria2-2
  • LHUkraine0-2
  • LASweden2-3
  • WHAlbania2-1
  • WAMalta3-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

RomaniarecordPoland
0
2
0 draws

Goals

1-6

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Romania

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-6

Poland

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 6-1

Biggest win 3-0

  • Poland3-1Romania
  • Romania0-3Poland

Managers

M. Lucescu

Romania · 80

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Dinamo Kiev2020–2023
  • Türkiye2017–2019
  • Zenit2016–2017
  • Shakhtar Donetsk2004–2016

J. Urban

Poland · 63

In charge since 2025 · 8 teams managed

  • Górnik Zabrze2023–2025
  • Górnik Zabrze2021–2022
  • Slask Wroclaw2017–2018
  • Lech Poznań2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.