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UEFA Nations League · 5 · World

Serbia v Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Serbia v Germany: the model read

Serbia meet Germany in the UEFA Nations League 5.

Germany rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1492. Recent form leans Germany, 73% against 47%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 0.9 per match.

Serbia arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Mexico, L 0-3 @ Cape Verde Islands, W 2-1 v Saudi Arabia, L 0-3 @ Spain.

Germany are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Serbia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Germany 1-1 Serbia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Serbia

WLWLL7-4-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAMexico1-5
  • LACape Verde Islands0-3
  • WHSaudi Arabia2-1
  • LASpain0-3
  • WHLatvia2-1

Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

SerbiarecordGermany
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Serbia

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 1-0

Germany

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Germany1-1Serbia
  • Germany0-1Serbia

Managers

D. Stojković

Serbia · 60

In charge since 2021 · 4 teams managed

  • Guangzhou City2015–2020
  • Al Shamal2015–2015
  • Nagoya Grampus2012–2013
  • Nagoya Grampus2008–2012

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.