San Marino v Belarus: the model read
San Marino meet Belarus in the UEFA Nations League 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Belarus, 53% against 15%. Attacking output favors Belarus on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
San Marino arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Azerbaijan, L 1-2 v Bangladesh, D 0-0 v Andorra, L 1-2 v Faroe Islands.
Belarus are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Burkina Faso, W 4-1 v Syria, W 2-1 @ Armenia, W 1-0 @ Cyprus.
Belarus hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2018: San Marino 0-2 Belarus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
