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UEFA Nations League · 4 · World

Northern Ireland v Georgia

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Northern Ireland v Georgia: the model read

Northern Ireland meet Georgia in the UEFA Nations League 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Georgia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Northern Ireland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ France, W 1-0 v Guinea, D 1-1 @ Wales, L 0-2 @ Italy.

Georgia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Bahrain, D 1-1 v Romania, W 2-0 @ Lithuania, D 2-2 v Israel.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Northern Ireland

WLDWL8-4-8

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 40%

  • LAFrance1-3
  • WHGuinea1-0
  • DAWales1-1
  • LAItaly0-2
  • WHLuxembourg1-0

Georgia

LDWDW8-4-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBahrain2-0
  • DHRomania1-1
  • WALithuania2-0
  • DHIsrael2-2
  • LABulgaria1-2

Managers

I. Baraclough

England · 55

  • Northern Ireland2020–2023
  • Northern Ireland U212017–2020
  • Motherwell2014–2015
  • Sligo Rovers2012–2014

Zurab Khizanishvili

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.