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UEFA Nations League · 4 · World

Ukraine v Hungary

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Ukraine v Hungary: the model read

Ukraine meet Hungary in the UEFA Nations League 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ukraine on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Ukraine arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Denmark, W 2-0 @ Poland, W 1-0 v Albania, L 1-3 v Sweden.

Hungary are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Kazakhstan, W 2-1 v Finland, D 0-0 v Greece, W 1-0 v Slovenia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ukraine

WLWWL9-3-8

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LADenmark1-2
  • WAPoland2-0
  • WHAlbania1-0
  • LHSweden1-3
  • WHIceland2-0

Hungary

LWDWW7-6-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHKazakhstan3-1
  • WHFinland2-1
  • DHGreece0-0
  • WHSlovenia1-0
  • LHRep. Of Ireland2-3

Managers

S. Rebrov

Ukraine · 51

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Ukraine2022–2026
  • Al Ain2021–2023
  • Ferencváros2018–2021
  • Al Ahli2017–2018

G. Jeremias

Hungary · 40

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Hungary U172023–2024
  • Szentlőrinc SE2022–2023
  • Debrecen2021–2021

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.