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Portugal v Norway

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Portugal v Norway: the model read

Portugal meet Norway in the UEFA Nations League 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 78%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.2 per match.

Portugal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.

Norway are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v England, W 2-1 @ Brazil, W 2-1 @ Ivory Coast, L 1-4 v France.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Portugal

DWDWL11-6-3

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • WHCroatia2-1
  • DAColombia0-0
  • WHUzbekistan5-0
  • DHCongo DR1-1

Norway

WLWWL14-3-3

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LHEngland1-2
  • WABrazil2-1
  • WAIvory Coast2-1
  • LHFrance1-4
  • WHSenegal3-2

Managers

Roberto Martínez

Spain · 52

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Belgium2016–2022
  • Everton2013–2016
  • Wigan Athletic2009–2013
  • Swansea City2007–2009

S. Solbakken

Norway · 57

In charge since 2021 · 5 teams managed

  • FC Copenhagen2013–2020
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2012–2013
  • FC Cologne2011–2012
  • FC Copenhagen2006–2011

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.