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UEFA Nations League · 4 · World

Greece v Germany

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Greece v Germany: the model read

Greece meet Germany in the UEFA Nations League 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Germany, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.7 per match.

Greece arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.

Germany are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Germany hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Germany 2-1 Greece.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Greece

DLDDL10-3-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHItaly0-1
  • DASweden2-2
  • DAHungary0-0
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • DABelarus0-0

Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

GreecerecordGermany
0
2
0 draws

Goals

3-6

for each

Avg goals

4.5

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Greece

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 3-6

Germany

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 6-3

Biggest win 4-2

  • Germany2-1Greece
  • Germany4-2Greece

Managers

I. Jovanović

Serbia · 63

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Panathinaikos2021–2023
  • Al Nasr2018–2018
  • Al Nasr2013–2016
  • APOEL2008–2013

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.