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UEFA Nations League · 3 · World

Belgium v Türkiye

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Belgium v Türkiye: the model read

Belgium meet Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 70%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.0 per match.

Belgium arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.

Türkiye are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v USA, L 0-1 v Paraguay, L 0-2 @ Australia, W 2-1 @ Venezuela.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Belgium

DWWWL12-6-2

Scored 3.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LASpain1-2
  • WAUSA4-1
  • WHSenegal3-2
  • WANew Zealand5-1
  • DHIran0-0

Türkiye

WWLLW13-2-5

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHUSA3-2
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • LAAustralia0-2
  • WAVenezuela2-1
  • WHFYR Macedonia4-0

Managers

R. Garcia

France · 61

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2023–2023
  • Al Nassr2022–2023
  • Lyon2019–2021
  • Marseille2016–2019

V. Montella

Italy · 51

In charge since 2023 · 8 teams managed

  • Adana Demirspor2021–2023
  • Fiorentina2019–2019
  • Sevilla2017–2018
  • AC Milan2016–2017

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.