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UEFA Nations League · 2 · World

Belgium v France

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Belgium v France: the model read

Belgium meet France in the UEFA Nations League 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 78%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.5 per match.

Belgium arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.

France are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

France hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Belgium 1-2 France.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Belgium

DWWWL12-6-2

Scored 3.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LASpain1-2
  • WAUSA4-1
  • WHSenegal3-2
  • WANew Zealand5-1
  • DHIran0-0

France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

BelgiumrecordFrance
0
5
0 draws

Goals

3-9

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Belgium

Recent
LLLLL
Wins 0Goals 3-9

France

Recent
WWWWW
Wins 5Goals 9-3

Biggest win 2-0

  • Belgium1-2France
  • France2-0Belgium
  • France1-0Belgium
  • Belgium2-3France
  • France1-0Belgium

Managers

R. Garcia

France · 61

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2023–2023
  • Al Nassr2022–2023
  • Lyon2019–2021
  • Marseille2016–2019

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.