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UEFA Nations League · 2 · World

Norway v Portugal

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Norway v Portugal: the model read

Norway meet Portugal in the UEFA Nations League 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 70%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.2 per match.

Norway arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v England, W 2-1 @ Brazil, W 2-1 @ Ivory Coast, L 1-4 v France.

Portugal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Norway

WLWWL14-3-3

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LHEngland1-2
  • WABrazil2-1
  • WAIvory Coast2-1
  • LHFrance1-4
  • WHSenegal3-2

Portugal

DWDWL11-6-3

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • WHCroatia2-1
  • DAColombia0-0
  • WHUzbekistan5-0
  • DHCongo DR1-1

Managers

S. Solbakken

Norway · 57

In charge since 2021 · 5 teams managed

  • FC Copenhagen2013–2020
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2012–2013
  • FC Cologne2011–2012
  • FC Copenhagen2006–2011

Roberto Martínez

Spain · 52

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Belgium2016–2022
  • Everton2013–2016
  • Wigan Athletic2009–2013
  • Swansea City2007–2009

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.