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UEFA Nations League · 1 · World

Sweden v Romania

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Sweden v Romania: the model read

Sweden meet Romania in the UEFA Nations League 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Romania, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Romania on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Sweden arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.

Romania are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Wales, D 1-1 @ Georgia, L 0-2 @ Slovakia, L 0-1 @ Türkiye.

Sweden hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Romania 0-2 Sweden.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sweden

DWLDL8-4-8

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAFrance0-3
  • DAJapan1-1
  • LANetherlands1-5
  • WHTunisia5-1
  • DHGreece2-2

Romania

WLLDW11-2-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WHWales2-1
  • DAGeorgia1-1
  • LASlovakia0-2
  • LATürkiye0-1
  • WHSan Marino7-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

SwedenrecordRomania
2
1
0 draws

Goals

4-2

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Sweden

Recent
WWL
Wins 2Goals 4-2

Biggest win 2-0

Romania

Recent
LLW
Wins 1Goals 2-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Romania0-2Sweden
  • Sweden2-1Romania
  • Romania1-0Sweden

Managers

J. Tomasson

Denmark · 49

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Blackburn Rovers2022–2024
  • Malmö2020–2021
  • Roda JC2013–2014
  • Excelsior2013–2013

M. Lucescu

Romania · 80

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Dinamo Kiev2020–2023
  • Türkiye2017–2019
  • Zenit2016–2017
  • Shakhtar Donetsk2004–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.