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Liechtenstein v Lithuania

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Liechtenstein v Lithuania: the model read

Liechtenstein meet Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 15% against 18%. Attacking output favors Lithuania on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.3 per match.

Liechtenstein arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Cyprus, L 0-2 @ Andorra, L 1-4 @ Aruba, W 1-0 @ Tanzania.

Lithuania are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Estonia, D 1-1 v Latvia, L 0-2 v Georgia, W 2-0 @ Moldova.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Liechtenstein

LWLLL2-2-16

Scored 0.35 · Conceded 2.65 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 20%

  • LHCyprus0-2
  • LAAndorra0-2
  • LAAruba1-4
  • WATanzania1-0
  • LABelgium0-7

Lithuania

LWLDL1-5-14

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 45%

  • LAEstonia0-1
  • DHLatvia1-1
  • LHGeorgia0-2
  • WAMoldova2-0
  • LANetherlands0-4

Managers

K. Fünfstück

Germany · 45

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Werder Bremen II2019–2023
  • Wil2017–2019
  • Kaiserslautern2015–2016
  • Kaiserslautern II2013–2015

E. Jankauskas

Lithuania · 50

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Lithuania2016–2019
  • Riteriai2014–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.