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UEFA Nations League · 1 · World

Norway v Denmark

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Norway v Denmark: the model read

Norway meet Denmark in the UEFA Nations League 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Norway, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.0 per match.

Norway arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v England, W 2-1 @ Brazil, W 2-1 @ Ivory Coast, L 1-4 v France.

Denmark are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ukraine, D 0-0 @ Congo DR, D 1-1 @ Czechia, W 4-0 v FYR Macedonia.

Denmark hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Denmark 3-1 Norway.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Norway

WLWWL14-3-3

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LHEngland1-2
  • WABrazil2-1
  • WAIvory Coast2-1
  • LHFrance1-4
  • WHSenegal3-2

Denmark

LWDDW10-6-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WHUkraine2-1
  • DACongo DR0-0
  • DACzechia1-1
  • WHFYR Macedonia4-0
  • LAScotland2-4

Head-to-head

1 meeting

NorwayrecordDenmark
0
1
0 draws

Goals

1-3

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Norway

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-3

Denmark

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-1

Biggest win 3-1

  • Denmark3-1Norway

Managers

S. Solbakken

Norway · 57

In charge since 2021 · 5 teams managed

  • FC Copenhagen2013–2020
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2012–2013
  • FC Cologne2011–2012
  • FC Copenhagen2006–2011

B. Riemer

Denmark · 47

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Anderlecht2022–2024
  • København U192016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.