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UEFA Nations League · 1 · World

Serbia v Greece

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Serbia v Greece: the model read

Serbia meet Greece in the UEFA Nations League 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Greece, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors Greece on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.

Serbia arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Mexico, L 0-3 @ Cape Verde Islands, W 2-1 v Saudi Arabia, L 0-3 @ Spain.

Greece are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Serbia

WLWLL7-4-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAMexico1-5
  • LACape Verde Islands0-3
  • WHSaudi Arabia2-1
  • LASpain0-3
  • WHLatvia2-1

Greece

DLDDL10-3-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LHItaly0-1
  • DASweden2-2
  • DAHungary0-0
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • DABelarus0-0

Managers

D. Stojković

Serbia · 60

In charge since 2021 · 4 teams managed

  • Guangzhou City2015–2020
  • Al Shamal2015–2015
  • Nagoya Grampus2012–2013
  • Nagoya Grampus2008–2012

I. Jovanović

Serbia · 63

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Panathinaikos2021–2023
  • Al Nasr2018–2018
  • Al Nasr2013–2016
  • APOEL2008–2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.