Where the market is wrong on Heilongjiang Lava Spring v Suzhou Dongwu
Heilongjiang Lava Spring meet Suzhou Dongwu in the League One regular season - 21 at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 43%. Attacking output favors Heilongjiang Lava Spring on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Suzhou Dongwu, L 1-2 v Hebei Kungfu, D 1-1 @ Nanjing City, W 2-1 v Dalian Huayi.
Suzhou Dongwu are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Heilongjiang Lava Spring, D 3-3 @ Guangxi Hengchen, D 0-0 v Nantong Zhiyun, W 2-1 v Changchun Yatai.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3-4 Suzhou Dongwu.
The market prices HEI at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Suzhou Dongwu: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
