Where the market is wrong on Meizhou Kejia v Guangzhou E-Power
Meizhou Kejia meet Guangzhou E-Power in the League One regular season - 20 at Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre, Meizhou.
Guangzhou E-Power rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1420. Recent form leans Guangzhou E-Power, 75% against 35%. Attacking output favors Guangzhou E-Power on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Guangzhou E-Power at 76%; double chance reads Meizhou Kejia or draw 43%, Guangzhou E-Power or draw 82%.
Meizhou Kejia arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Guangzhou E-Power, L 0-1 @ Guangxi Hengchen, W 3-2 v Dongguan United, L 0-1 @ Suzhou Dongwu.
Guangzhou E-Power are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Meizhou Kejia, W 3-0 @ Wuxi Wugou, W 2-0 v Guangxi Hengchen, D 1-1 v Dongguan United.
Guangzhou E-Power hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Meizhou Kejia 1-5 Guangzhou E-Power.
The market prices MEI at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
