ML Vitebsk v Neman: the model read
ML Vitebsk meet Neman in the Super Cup final. The model makes ML Vitebsk the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ML , 30% draw, 34% NEM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1611 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 57%. Attacking output favors ML Vitebsk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans ML Vitebsk at 52%; double chance reads ML Vitebsk or draw 66%, Neman or draw 63%.
ML Vitebsk arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Sutjeska, L 0-1 @ Universitatea Craiova, L 1-4 v Universitatea Craiova, W 4-2 @ Slavia Mozyr.
Neman are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Arsenal, W 2-1 @ Shakhter Soligorsk, D 1-1 @ FC Gomel, L 0-1 v Arsenal.
ML Vitebsk hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Neman 1-2 ML Vitebsk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
