Figueirense v Ferroviária: the model read
Figueirense meet Ferroviária in the Serie C regular season - 16. The model makes Ferroviária the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 26% FIG, 35% draw, 39% FER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ferroviária, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Ferroviária at 60%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 61%, Ferroviária or draw 74%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Santa Cruz, D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas.
Ferroviária are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Maranhão, W 3-1 @ Ituano, L 0-1 v Caxias, L 0-1 @ AO Itabaiana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
