Caxias v Botafogo PB: the model read
Caxias meet Botafogo PB in the Serie C regular season - 15 at Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul. The model makes Caxias the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% CAX, 33% draw, 32% BOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Botafogo PB on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Caxias at 52%; double chance reads Caxias or draw 68%, Botafogo PB or draw 65%.
Caxias arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Botafogo PB, D 0-0 v Floresta, W 1-0 @ Ferroviária, D 1-1 v Anápolis.
Botafogo PB are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Caxias, W 2-0 v Confiança, W 2-0 @ Anápolis, W 2-0 v Brusque.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caxias 1-2 Botafogo PB.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
