Santa Cruz v Figueirense: the model read
Santa Cruz meet Figueirense in the Serie C regular season - 15. The model makes Santa Cruz the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% SAN, 35% draw, 28% FIG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Santa Cruz at 57%; double chance reads Santa Cruz or draw 72%, Figueirense or draw 63%.
Santa Cruz arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Figueirense, W 2-1 @ Barra, W 1-0 v Ituano, W 3-1 @ Paysandu.
Figueirense are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Santa Cruz, D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
