Caxias v Floresta: the model read
Caxias meet Floresta in the Serie C regular season - 14 at Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul. The model makes Caxias the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAX, 35% draw, 27% FLO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Caxias, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Caxias on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Caxias at 58%; double chance reads Caxias or draw 73%, Floresta or draw 63%.
Caxias arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Botafogo PB, D 0-0 v Floresta, W 1-0 @ Ferroviária, D 1-1 v Anápolis.
Floresta are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Maringá, D 0-0 @ Caxias, D 0-0 @ Guarani Campinas, W 2-1 v Barra.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caxias 0-0 Floresta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output