Volta Redonda v Amazonas: the model read
Volta Redonda meet Amazonas in the Serie C regular season - 12 at Raulino de Oliveira, Volta Redonda. The model makes Amazonas the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% VOL, 32% draw, 38% AMA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Amazonas on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Amazonas at 56%; double chance reads Volta Redonda or draw 62%, Amazonas or draw 70%.
Volta Redonda arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Anápolis, D 0-0 v São Gonçalo EC RJ, L 1-2 @ São Gonçalo EC RJ, D 0-0 @ Figueirense.
Amazonas are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Paysandu, L 0-1 @ Inter De Limeira, L 0-2 v AO Itabaiana, L 0-3 @ Volta Redonda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
