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FA Women's Cup · Quarter-finals · England

Birmingham City W v Manchester City W

0-1Full time· Referee: G. Lowe

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Birmingham City W v Manchester City W: the model read

Birmingham City W meet Manchester City W in the FA Women's Cup quarter-finals. The model makes Manchester City W the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 27% BIR, 27% draw, 46% MAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1753, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Manchester City W, 83% against 70%. Attacking output favors Manchester City W on expected goals, 3.1 to 2.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Manchester City W at 63%; double chance reads Birmingham City W or draw 54%, Manchester City W or draw 73%.

Birmingham City W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Charlton Athletic W, L 0-3 v Ipswich Town W, L 0-1 v Manchester City W, W 1-0 v Sunderland W.

Manchester City W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Brighton W, W 4-1 @ West Ham W, W 3-2 @ Chelsea W, W 1-0 v Liverpool W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Birmingham City W

WWLLW13-2-5

Scored 2.60 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • WACharlton Athletic W2-0
  • LHIpswich Town W0-3
  • LHManchester City W0-1
  • WHSunderland W1-0
  • WABristol City W1-0

Manchester City W

LWWWW16-1-3

Scored 3.10 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WABrighton W4-0
  • WAWest Ham W4-1
  • WAChelsea W3-2
  • WHLiverpool W1-0
  • LABrighton W2-3

Managers

M. Tejedor

Head coach

In charge since 2019

Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.