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Friendlies · Friendly International · World

England v New Zealand

1-0Full time· Raymond James Stadium, Tampa· Referee: Natalie Simon, USA

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Match analysisPre-match brief

England v New Zealand: the model read

England meet New Zealand in the Friendlies friendly international at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.

England rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1454. Recent form leans England, 80% against 40%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.

England arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.

New Zealand are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Belgium, L 1-3 v Egypt, D 2-2 @ Iran, L 0-1 @ England.

England hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: England 1-0 New Zealand.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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England

WWWLW15-2-3

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WAFrance6-4
  • LHArgentina1-2
  • WANorway2-1
  • WAMexico3-2
  • WHCongo DR2-1

New Zealand

LLDLL7-2-11

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LHBelgium1-5
  • LHEgypt1-3
  • DAIran2-2
  • LAEngland0-1
  • LAHaiti0-4

Head-to-head

1 meeting

EnglandrecordNew Zealand
1
0
0 draws

Goals

1-0

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

England

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

New Zealand

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1
  • England1-0New Zealand

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

D. Bazeley

England · 53

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • New Zealand U232023–2023
  • New Zealand U192022–2023
  • New Zealand U202017–2017
  • Wanderers2013–2015

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.