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USL League Two · Group Stage · USA

Oakland County v Midwest United

2-5Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Oakland County v Midwest United: the model read

Oakland County meet Midwest United in the USL League Two group stage. The model makes Midwest United the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 34% OAK, 28% draw, 38% MID.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 58%. Attacking output favors Midwest United on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Midwest United at 52%; double chance reads Oakland County or draw 62%, Midwest United or draw 66%.

Oakland County arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Midwest United, L 1-3 @ AFC Ann Arbor, L 0-2 @ Kalamazoo FC, D 1-1 @ Flint City Bucks.

Midwest United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Oakland County, L 1-4 v Flint City Bucks, D 2-2 @ Kalamazoo FC, W 5-1 @ Lansing City.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oakland County 2-5 Midwest United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Oakland County

DDLLL10-4-6

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • LHMidwest United2-5
  • LAAFC Ann Arbor1-3
  • LAKalamazoo FC0-2
  • DAFlint City Bucks1-1
  • DAUnion Macomb2-2

Midwest United

WWDLW10-2-7

Scored 2.21 · Conceded 1.26 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WAOakland County5-2
  • LHFlint City Bucks1-4
  • DAKalamazoo FC2-2
  • WALansing City5-1
  • WAAFC Ann Arbor2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Oakland CountyrecordMidwest United
4
4
2 draws

Goals

18-20

for each

Avg goals

3.8

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Oakland County

Recent
LWDLLL
Wins 4Goals 18-20

Biggest win 3-1

Midwest United

Recent
WLDWWW
Wins 4Goals 20-18

Biggest win 4-0

  • Oakland County2-5Midwest United
  • Midwest United1-3Oakland County
  • Oakland County1-1Midwest United
  • Midwest United2-1Oakland County
  • Oakland County0-4Midwest United
  • Midwest United2-1Oakland County
  • Oakland County4-3Midwest United
  • Midwest United0-0Oakland County
  • Midwest United0-2Oakland County
  • Oakland County4-2Midwest United

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.